Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
MVV
1 - 0
HER
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
HER
1 - 2
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
SPA
6 - 1
HER
79%
13%
8%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
HER
0 - 0
TWE
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
BOS
4 - 0
HER
63%
21%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
AZA
0 - 0
VVV
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
GRO
1 - 0
AZA
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
AZA
0 - 1
PSV
19%
24%
57%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 0
NEC
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
SPA
0 - 0
AZA
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |