Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
50.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ELI
1 - 0
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
HER
1 - 3
FEY
20%
21%
60%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
TWE
4 - 1
HER
65%
19%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
HER
0 - 3
WIL
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
GRO
1 - 1
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
AJA
4 - 0
GAE
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
TEL
1 - 2
AJA
26%
22%
52%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
MVV
0 - 1
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
AJA
2 - 1
VVD
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |