Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
56.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
VVD
5 - 2
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
FEY
1 - 1
HER
84%
10%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
HER
2 - 2
GRO
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
HER
0 - 1
DWS
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
FOR
4 - 1
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
GRO
3 - 1
AJA
28%
23%
49%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
AJA
4 - 1
FOR
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
ADO
1 - 0
AJA
32%
23%
46%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
AJA
2 - 2
NAC
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |