Heracles vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 0
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
HER
4 - 1
RKC
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 1
HER
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
HER
2 - 0
NEC
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
AZA
3 - 2
HER
66%
20%
13%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ADO
4 - 0
RKC
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ADO
2 - 3
NEC
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
UTR
0 - 2
ADO
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ADO
0 - 1
AJA
11%
17%
72%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 0
ADO
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |