Heracles vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2000 |
EXC
1 - 2
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
HER
3 - 1
BVV
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
ZWO
1 - 0
HER
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
HER
0 - 0
EIN
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1999 |
HER
0 - 1
RBC
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
NAC
2 - 0
ADO
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
ADO
1 - 4
TEL
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
FCO
1 - 2
ADO
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
VVV
1 - 1
ADO
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
ADO
2 - 2
FCD
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |