Heracles vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1966 |
HER
1 - 1
FOR
47%
24%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
DWS
4 - 1
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
HER
3 - 1
SPA
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
VVD
3 - 2
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
GAE
2 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1966 |
GAE
0 - 1
ADO
43%
22%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
ADO
4 - 2
TEL
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
PSV
3 - 5
ADO
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
ADO
4 - 0
MVV
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
AJA
5 - 1
ADO
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |