Heracles vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
GAE
2 - 2
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
HER
1 - 2
ENS
48%
21%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
FOR
2 - 0
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
HER
1 - 5
FEY
38%
22%
40%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
PSV
0 - 1
HER
77%
13%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
ADO
2 - 2
NAC
46%
23%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
SPA
1 - 0
ADO
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
ADO
0 - 1
MVV
57%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
DWS
1 - 1
ADO
67%
18%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
ADO
2 - 1
VVD
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |