Heracles vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
VOL
2 - 2
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
26%
20%
54%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1962 |
HER
0 - 4
FOR
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
FEY
6 - 2
HER
85%
10%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
PSV
2 - 2
HER
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
ADO
3 - 0
FOR
52%
23%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
PSV
2 - 0
ADO
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1962 |
ADO
0 - 2
VVD
42%
23%
35%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
WIL
2 - 2
ADO
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
DVO
0 - 2
ADO
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |