Heracles Sub 21 vs NEC Nijmegen Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
VOL
4 - 4
HER
21%
21%
59%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
HER
5 - 1
DOR
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
VVV
0 - 3
HER
26%
22%
52%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
GRO
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 2
HER
17%
19%
64%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -3 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
NEC
0 - 2
VOL
63%
19%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
DOR
2 - 5
NEC
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
NEC
0 - 2
VVV
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
GRO
4 - 1
NEC
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
NEC
4 - 1
FOR
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |