Heracles U21 vs NEC Nijmegen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
JON
0 - 1
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
HER
2 - 2
TWE
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 2
HER
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
UTR
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
HER
4 - 1
HER
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 3
TWE
13%
19%
68%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
UTR
5 - 2
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 6
PSV
16%
21%
63%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
ALK
3 - 1
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 4
FYN
19%
22%
59%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | -1 |