Henstedt-Ulzburg vs VFR Horst 1946 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henstedt-Ulzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
HEI
2 - 2
HUL
58%
22%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
HUL
3 - 3
VFR
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
FLE
2 - 1
HUL
44%
25%
32%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
HUL
1 - 1
EIB
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
HEI
0 - 4
HUL
31%
25%
45%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VFR Horst 1946
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
VFR
3 - 1
ALT
41%
24%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
KRO
2 - 2
VFR
63%
20%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
VFR
1 - 2
COK
53%
23%
24%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ECK
3 - 4
VFR
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
VFR
4 - 2
KIL
64%
20%
16%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |