Henstedt-Ulzburg vs Union Neumünster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henstedt-Ulzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ECK
2 - 3
HUL
24%
23%
54%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
HUL
3 - 3
HOL
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
COK
1 - 2
HUL
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
HUS
1 - 6
HUL
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
HUL
3 - 0
ALT
74%
15%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Union Neumünster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 0
LUB
35%
24%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ALT
0 - 3
UNI
50%
23%
27%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
VFR
17%
22%
61%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
UNI
0 - 2
SPF
77%
15%
9%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |