Henstedt-Ulzburg vs Kilia Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
17.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henstedt-Ulzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 0
HUL
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TOD
1 - 0
HUL
75%
15%
11%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
HUL
3 - 5
FLE
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
HUL
0 - 2
EUT
38%
22%
40%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
REH
1 - 3
HUL
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
KIL
3 - 3
TOD
16%
18%
67%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
FLE
4 - 1
KIL
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
KIL
3 - 1
REH
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
KIL
0 - 4
EIC
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
TUR
1 - 3
KIL
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |