Henstedt-Ulzburg vs Hartenholm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henstedt-Ulzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
DOR
2 - 2
HUL
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 0
HUL
57%
21%
23%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
HUL
0 - 3
HOL
10%
18%
72%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HUL
3 - 3
SCH
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NTS
3 - 1
HUL
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hartenholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 4
HOL
11%
18%
72%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 2
FLE
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TOD
0 - 2
HAR
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 2
HEI
27%
22%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
KRO
4 - 1
HAR
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |