Hennef 05 Sub 19 vs B. Leverkusen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
71.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+145%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
7º
8º
7º
27
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 24 |
4º
|
96.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
69% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05 Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
VIK
5 - 0
HEN
78%
13%
9%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 3
KOL
15%
18%
67%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
HEN
69%
17%
15%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HEN
3 - 2
WEH
28%
21%
51%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HEN
3 - 4
KAI
11%
15%
74%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 1
LEV
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 1
MON
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 1
RBS
15%
18%
67%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
LIV
4 - 1
LEV
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 3
LEV
17%
20%
63%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |