Hennef 05 Sub 19 vs Alemannia Aachen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
63.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+286%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
7º
8º
8º
7
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 32 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 30 |
2º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 22 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 21 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 20 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 15 |
6º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 11 |
7º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 8 |
8º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05 Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
WEH
2 - 3
HEN
82%
12%
7%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 0
HEN
81%
12%
7%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HEN
0 - 7
MON
9%
13%
78%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 4
MON
20%
18%
62%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
5 - 2
ALA
68%
17%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
VIK
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARM
0 - 1
ALA
35%
21%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 1
ALA
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |