Hennef 05 vs Wegberg-Beeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
1º
65
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
KON
0 - 1
H05
35%
22%
44%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
H05
2 - 0
BFR
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SIE
0 - 2
H05
26%
22%
52%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
H05
2 - 0
BWF
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BGP
0 - 2
H05
12%
18%
71%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
WEG
2 - 0
BSC
44%
23%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
HUR
0 - 4
WEG
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WEG
3 - 0
SVE
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PES
1 - 3
WEG
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
KON
1 - 0
WEG
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |