Hennef 05 vs Viktoria Arnoldsweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
1º
18
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
H05
2 - 0
PES
72%
16%
11%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
5 - 1
H05
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
H05
2 - 0
HUR
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SVE
2 - 3
H05
29%
21%
49%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FVE
1 - 2
H05
12%
16%
73%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 1
BSC
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 1
VIA
58%
22%
20%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VIA
0 - 2
SVE
29%
21%
50%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
WEG
4 - 1
VIA
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SVD
2 - 5
VIA
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |