Hennef 05 vs VfL Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
WES
2 - 2
H05
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
H05
1 - 1
ALT
53%
21%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
H05
2 - 3
BER
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
GEW
1 - 2
H05
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
H05
1 - 6
SPO
16%
22%
62%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VFL
1 - 0
VIA
38%
23%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VFL
5 - 0
EIL
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
WES
2 - 0
VFL
39%
23%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VFL
2 - 2
ALT
26%
21%
52%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
BFR
3 - 0
VFL
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |