Hennef 05 vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
7º
16º
13º
9
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 66 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 59 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 54 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 46 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 45 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 41 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 41 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 36 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 36 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 31 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 29 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 28 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 28 |
16º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
38% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HUR
0 - 0
H05
30%
22%
47%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
H05
1 - 1
PES
40%
23%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HIL
1 - 0
H05
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
BFR
4 - 1
H05
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
USC
0 - 2
H05
30%
20%
49%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SIE
3 - 1
USC
68%
17%
15%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 2
SIE
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SIE
3 - 1
SPV
59%
20%
22%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HUR
1 - 0
SIE
26%
23%
50%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SIE
2 - 3
GET
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |