Hennef 05 vs Germania Teveren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
12º
9º
18
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KON
1 - 1
H05
22%
19%
59%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
H05
0 - 5
SVE
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
H05
4 - 0
FVE
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
BSC
1 - 0
H05
27%
24%
50%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
H05
2 - 4
ENG
64%
20%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Germania Teveren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
GET
1 - 3
BSC
22%
21%
58%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 1
GET
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
GET
2 - 1
BGP
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
USC
0 - 6
GET
77%
14%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
GET
0 - 7
AAA
11%
17%
72%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |