Hennef 05 vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
81.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
SGD
2 - 2
MUN
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 0
SSV
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 2
STU
20%
22%
58%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 2
MUN
20%
22%
58%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 2
AAA
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |