Hendon vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 3
HEN
20%
21%
59%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 4
HEN
15%
20%
65%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
HEN
4 - 2
BRI
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
DOR
0 - 3
HEN
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
HEN
2 - 1
BAT
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 1
NEE
59%
21%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
WIN
0 - 0
STA
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 4
WIN
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
WEA
1 - 0
WIN
61%
22%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
THU
2 - 4
WIN
40%
24%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |