Hendon vs Metropolitan Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
HEN
4 - 1
BIL
28%
24%
49%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
STA
4 - 0
HEN
38%
23%
39%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
TOO
0 - 2
HEN
18%
19%
63%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
HEN
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HEN
1 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
MET
3 - 2
NEE
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FOL
5 - 2
MET
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MET
2 - 2
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HAR
4 - 3
MET
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
TON
2 - 0
MET
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |