Hendon vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HAM
5 - 0
HEN
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
HEN
0 - 2
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
KIN
1 - 0
HEN
33%
24%
44%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LEA
2 - 5
HEN
29%
25%
47%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HEN
2 - 2
MER
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
KIN
2 - 2
BIL
56%
22%
21%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 3
KIN
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +3 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
KIN
1 - 0
HEN
33%
24%
44%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 0
KIN
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 0
KIN
54%
22%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |