Hendon vs Hartley Wintney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
HEN
2 - 1
MER
33%
24%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
BLA
2 - 2
HEN
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
HEN
1 - 2
TIV
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SWI
2 - 0
HEN
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HEN
2 - 1
BEA
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 5
HAY
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
MER
3 - 2
HAR
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
EAS
3 - 1
HAR
45%
24%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
HAR
3 - 0
POO
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
WHI
2 - 1
HAR
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |