Hendon vs Bognor Regis Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
HEN
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
HEN
0 - 1
WIN
25%
23%
53%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
HEN
1 - 2
YEL
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TON
3 - 1
HEN
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HEN
2 - 1
MER
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 1
BOG
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 2
GRA
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 5
BOG
19%
23%
59%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
BOG
2 - 1
NEE
63%
21%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 1
ENF
52%
23%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |