Henderson Eels vs Morobe Wawens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henderson Eels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
LAU
5 - 6
HEE
50%
21%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CEN
3 - 2
HEE
46%
21%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
KOS
1 - 5
HEE
42%
23%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 6
HEE
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SOL
1 - 0
HEE
64%
19%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Morobe Wawens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
FCM
0 - 7
CEN
15%
18%
67%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FCM
0 - 5
LAU
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FCM
3 - 4
BES
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
FCM
0 - 1
BES
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +5 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
FCM
5 - 0
SSF
55%
20%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |