Henares DIV vs EF Concepción A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henares DIV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
HEN
3 - 0
CAR
86%
10%
5%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CDS
3 - 2
HEN
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
HEN
2 - 2
AVA
62%
19%
20%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
HEN
35%
23%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HEN
0 - 3
NPI
72%
16%
13%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
UZN
5 - 2
EFC
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
EFC
0 - 3
CPO
15%
21%
64%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
EFC
54%
23%
23%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
EFC
1 - 2
SAG
18%
22%
61%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COS
1 - 1
EFC
60%
21%
19%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |