FA Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Henan FC vs Shenzhen Peng City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
HEN
2 - 0
CHO
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
MEQ
1 - 5
HEN
4%
11%
85%
|
66 | 9 | 57 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
HEN
1 - 1
GUA
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
QIN
0 - 1
HEN
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
HEN
70%
18%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Shenzhen Peng City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
CBC
1 - 2
SJF
64%
19%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
BEI
1 - 1
SJF
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
KUN
1 - 1
SJF
58%
25%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
SJF
1 - 0
BIT
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CBC
2 - 1
SJF
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |