CSL Puesto 9º al 16º Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Henan FC vs Guangzhou City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 2
HEN
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
WUZ
1 - 1
HEN
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
HEN
1 - 0
WUZ
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SHA
2 - 0
HEN
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
HEN
0 - 2
SHA
15%
23%
63%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 2
HEN
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
QIN
61%
20%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
QIN
0 - 0
GUA
42%
24%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SHA
0 - 0
GUA
71%
17%
11%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 2
SHA
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |