Henan FC vs Guangzhou City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HEN
2 - 1
SHA
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HEN
0 - 3
JIA
30%
30%
40%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
QIN
3 - 1
HEN
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
HEN
1 - 2
DAL
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 2
HEN
58%
24%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
SHA
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
LIA
1 - 2
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 2
SHA
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DAL
4 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
TIT
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |