Henan FC vs Nantong Zhiyun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
15º
10º
22
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
QIN
2 - 0
HEN
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
CBC
2 - 0
HEN
59%
23%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
HEN
0 - 1
SHA
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
HEN
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 1
HEN
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nantong Zhiyun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHA
10%
20%
70%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
DAL
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
TIT
1 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
MEI
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
GUA
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |