Henan FC vs Chengdu Rongcheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
53.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
14º
8º
52
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 76 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 74 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 62 |
3º
|
95.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 55 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
92% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 33 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 29 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 95.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TIT
1 - 0
HEN
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
HEN
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HEN
0 - 2
SHI
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
QIN
0 - 2
HEN
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
HEN
22%
26%
52%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 2
BEI
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
CBC
13%
20%
68%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 0
CBC
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 3
CBC
19%
25%
56%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CBC
4 - 0
CHA
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |