Henan FC vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
40.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 2
HEN
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 0
HEN
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HEN
0 - 4
SHA
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LIA
3 - 1
HEN
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
SHA
1 - 0
HEN
71%
18%
10%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
SHA
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIA
3 - 3
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
DAL
1 - 2
CHA
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
SHE
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LIA
1 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |