Henan FC vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
SHE
1 - 1
HEN
50%
28%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
HEN
1 - 1
GAM
18%
22%
59%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
HEN
1 - 1
BEI
27%
28%
45%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
JIA
0 - 0
HEN
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
AFS
2 - 1
HEN
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 0
GUI
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
PER
2 - 0
CHA
22%
22%
56%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 2
SHA
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SHE
2 - 1
CHA
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 1
KAA
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |