Henan FC vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
14º
8º
56
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
HEN
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 2
SHA
19%
26%
56%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HEN
2 - 3
WFC
28%
26%
47%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CBC
4 - 2
HEN
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 2
TIT
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
BEI
5 - 2
GUA
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
QIN
1 - 1
BEI
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 2
BEI
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BEI
3 - 2
MEI
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 1
CBC
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |