Henan FC vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
50.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
HEN
2 - 0
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 0
HEN
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HEN
2 - 0
HEB
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HEN
1 - 4
SHA
19%
26%
55%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
HEN
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BEI
1 - 1
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 3
BEI
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BEI
0 - 1
SHA
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 3
BEI
49%
23%
29%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GUI
3 - 2
BEI
16%
25%
59%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |