Hemel Hempstead Town vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hemel Hempstead Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 1
HEM
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WEY
0 - 2
HEM
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HEM
2 - 2
SAL
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WEA
3 - 2
HEM
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SHO
0 - 3
HEM
30%
25%
46%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STA
2 - 2
WOR
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WES
3 - 4
WOR
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
0 - 1
WOR
14%
18%
69%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
POO
2 - 0
WOR
8%
14%
77%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
WHI
0 - 1
WOR
11%
16%
73%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |