Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hemel Hempstead Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
HEM
1 - 1
STA
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
CHM
2 - 1
HEM
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
STA
2 - 1
HEM
41%
23%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
HEM
1 - 1
WEL
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
HEM
2 - 1
EAS
35%
25%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MER
3 - 0
WIN
49%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 4
HAR
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
ENF
4 - 1
WIN
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 0
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 0
DUL
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |