Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hemel Hempstead Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HAY
2 - 4
HEM
19%
22%
60%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HEM
1 - 1
BRO
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HEM
0 - 3
BAT
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
STA
0 - 4
HEM
19%
21%
60%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
EBB
2 - 2
HEM
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CHM
1 - 1
MAI
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GOS
0 - 1
CHM
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CHM
1 - 1
BAS
33%
25%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CHM
1 - 2
BRO
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MAI
2 - 0
CHM
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |