Helmond Sport vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
HEL
82%
12%
5%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
HEL
1 - 2
GRA
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
BOS
1 - 1
HEL
69%
18%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
GVV
2 - 1
HEL
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
HEL
1 - 4
TEL
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
NEC
3 - 0
FCO
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
BVO
0 - 0
NEC
52%
23%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
4 - 2
NEC
34%
22%
44%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
NEC
2 - 0
MVV
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
ALK
0 - 2
NEC
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |