Helmond Sport vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 3
HEL
20%
23%
58%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
GAE
3 - 0
HEL
40%
24%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
HEL
7 - 1
APE
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
TEL
0 - 0
HEL
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
HEL
2 - 2
BVV
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
HER
1 - 3
GAE
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
HER
4 - 1
FCD
71%
17%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 3
HER
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
HER
3 - 0
APE
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
TEL
2 - 2
HER
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |