Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
69.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
RJC
5 - 3
HEL
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
ADO
2 - 1
HEL
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
HEL
1 - 2
MVV
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 0
HEL
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
HEL
4 - 0
NAC
9%
19%
72%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 2
FCO
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
VOL
3 - 1
GRA
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
FCE
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
EIN
1 - 2
GRA
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 3
MVV
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | -1 |