Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
GAE
1 - 2
HEL
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
ZWO
5 - 0
HEL
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
HEL
2 - 4
FCD
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
HEL
1 - 1
VOL
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2007 |
BVV
3 - 0
HEL
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
GRA
4 - 1
FOR
83%
13%
4%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
BOS
0 - 4
GRA
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 1
EIN
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
TEL
0 - 0
GRA
25%
24%
50%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
WIL
4 - 2
GRA
39%
24%
38%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -2 |