Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
HEL
2 - 0
EIN
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
BVV
0 - 3
HEL
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
HEL
2 - 0
BVO
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
DEL
9 - 8
HEL
8%
16%
76%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
HEL
2 - 1
SPA
62%
21%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 0
HFC
65%
20%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
BOS
4 - 2
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 1
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
SPA
6 - 1
GRA
54%
22%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
AFC
0 - 2
GRA
22%
22%
56%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |