Helmond Sport vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
APE
2 - 0
HEL
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
HEL
2 - 2
TEL
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
BVV
4 - 0
HEL
27%
23%
50%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
HEL
2 - 2
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
SCH
6 - 7
HEL
7%
14%
78%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
FOR
3 - 0
GAE
20%
22%
58%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
HER
0 - 0
FOR
82%
12%
5%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
FCD
1 - 1
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
FOR
3 - 1
APE
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
GSV
0 - 3
FOR
35%
24%
40%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | +1 |