Helmond Sport vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
VOL
2 - 1
HEL
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
HEL
0 - 0
BOS
20%
24%
56%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
EIN
2 - 0
HEL
70%
18%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
HEL
0 - 0
NAC
17%
23%
61%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
MVV
4 - 1
HEL
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 2
NAC
46%
24%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
PSV
2 - 1
EXC
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 3
TEL
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 1
EXC
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 3
BVO
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |