Helmond Sport vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
BOS
1 - 0
HEL
36%
25%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
HEL
3 - 1
EIN
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
NUE
0 - 8
HEL
8%
15%
77%
|
67 | 32 | 35 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
HEL
1 - 0
VVV
54%
23%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2005 |
EIN
4 - 2
HEL
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCE
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
BVO
0 - 1
EXC
32%
25%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
SCN
1 - 4
EXC
12%
18%
70%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 5
ZWO
49%
24%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2005 |
MVV
2 - 2
EXC
28%
25%
48%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |