Helmond Sport vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
83.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
GRO
5 - 3
HEL
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
HEL
0 - 5
FEY
6%
13%
81%
|
52 | 88 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
FOR
2 - 0
HEL
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
HEL
1 - 3
BOS
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
HEL
1 - 2
VOL
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
AJA
5 - 0
VOL
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
19%
22%
60%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
AJA
5 - 2
UTR
89%
7%
3%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1984 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |